UK warmth pump gross sales reached a report excessive in 2025, with greater than 125,000 items bought, marking one other yr of sturdy progress for the low-carbon heating sector.
New figures from the Warmth Pump Affiliation (HPA) present the market grew by 27% yr on yr, with greater than a 3rd of items now manufactured within the UK.
Nevertheless, evaluation of the info means that on the present tempo, solely round one in 20 UK houses may have a warmth pump put in by 2030, with calls rising for the federal government to press forward with long-awaited constructing requirements and vitality insurance policies.
Report gross sales, however an extended highway forward for houses
HPA information exhibits 125,037 warmth pumps had been bought within the UK in 2025, together with greater than 110,000 hydronic methods, as all main warmth pump applied sciences recorded progress.
Air-source warmth pump gross sales rose by 26%, floor– and water-source warmth pumps by 32%, and home sizzling water warmth pumps by 36% in comparison with 2024.
Regardless of the report yr, the speed of progress slowed in contrast with the 56% surge seen in 2024. If annual gross sales proceed to develop at across the present price, the UK is on monitor to put in roughly 1.5 million extra warmth pumps between now and 2030, equal to round 5% of the UK’s 28 million houses.
Falling wanting the Authorities’s 2030 goal
The Authorities’s Heat Houses Plan units an ambition of putting in 450,000 warmth pumps per yr by 2030, a degree that trade evaluation suggests requires sustained annual progress of round 33%.
Present traits fall wanting that trajectory, leaving annual installations nearer to 400,000 by the tip of the last decade until progress accelerates.
The hole issues as a result of warmth pumps are central to decarbonising dwelling heating and decreasing reliance on imported gasoline.
HPA evaluation estimates that aligning deployment with the Carbon Price range Progress and Supply Plan might add £14 billion to UK gross worth added this decade and lower gasoline imports by as much as 62% by 2035.
How progress might speed up
Business leaders say stronger coverage indicators at the moment are wanted to show regular progress into mass adoption.
Charlotte Lee, Chief Govt of HPA UK, stated warmth pumps stay “a pivotal know-how to decarbonise warmth within the UK” however warned that momentum have to be maintained to fulfill Authorities targets.
She known as for the pressing publication of the Future Houses Commonplace and reforms to rebalance electrical energy and gasoline costs, including that each are wanted to “unlock the principle limitations to speed up warmth pump deployment”.
Paul Kenny, Director Common of the European Warmth Pump Affiliation, echoed these issues, arguing that whereas the Heat Houses Plan offers a powerful framework, the UK should handle the tax imbalance between electrical energy and gasoline to make sure warmth pumps are essentially the most cost-effective alternative for households.
Paul Kenny has in depth expertise in clear heating coverage, market improvement, and EU vitality transition initiatives, advocating for measures that speed up warmth pump adoption and enhance vitality effectivity.
Charlotte Lee is Chief Govt of the Warmth Pump Affiliation UK, the commerce physique representing the UK’s warmth pump sector. With in depth expertise in low-carbon heating coverage and trade advocacy, she leads efforts to speed up the adoption of warmth pumps throughout houses.
